College Football Week 10 Rankings

My Top 25 and which teams are still in playoff contention:

  1. Tennessee Volunteers 8-0: at 3 Georgia
  2. Alabama Crimson Tide 7-1: at 12 LSU
  3. Georgia Bulldogs 8-0: vs 1 Tennessee
  4. Michigan Wolverines 8-0: at Rutgers
  5. Ohio State Buccaneers 8-0: at Northwestern
  6. Clemson Tigers 8-0: at Notre Dame
  7. Oregon Ducks 7-1: at Colorado
  8. TCU Horned Frogs 8-0: vs Texas Tech
  9. UCLA Bruins 7-1: at Arizona State
  10. Utah Utes 6-2: vs Arizona
  11. USC Trojans 7-1: vs California
  12. LSU Tigers 6-2: vs 2 Alabama
  13. Ole Miss Rebels 8-1: BYE
  14. Kentucky Wildcats 5-3: at Missouri
  15. Kansas State Wildcats 6-2: vs 20 Texas
  16. Oklahoma State Cowboys 6-2: at Kansas
  17. Mississippi State Bulldogs 5-3: vs Auburn
  18. Illinois Fighting Illini 7-1: vs Michigan State
  19. Penn State Nittany Lions 6-2: at Indiana
  20. Texas Longhorns 5-3: at 15 Kansas State
  21. Arkansas Razorbacks 5-3: vs Liberty
  22. Wake Forest Demon Deacons 6-2: at NC State
  23. Oregon State Beavers 6-2: vs 25 Washington
  24. North Carolina Tar Heels 7-1: at Virginia
  25. Washington Huskies 6-2: at 23 Oregon State

Playoff Contenders

There are 8 teams left that I think have a good chance to make the playoffs:

  • Tennessee 8-0
  • Alabama 7-1
  • Georgia 8-0
  • Ohio State 8-0
  • Michigan 8-0
  • Clemson 8-0
  • TCU 8-0
  • Oregon 7-1

The four teams that end up making the playoffs will probably come from this group. However, there are three other teams that could make it under the right circumstances:

  • UCLA 7-1
  • USC 7-1
  • Ole Miss 8-1

These three teams are good, and if they win out, they could make it.

The Path

Tennessee, Alabama, Georgia, Ohio State, Michigan, and Ole Miss all control their own destiny. If they win out, they’re in (if Ole Miss were to win out they would be 12-1 and have wins over both Alabama and either Georgia or Tennessee, so it would be pretty hard to leave them out).

Clemson, TCU, Oregon, UCLA, and USC are in similar situations. Do their strength of schedules stack up with the others? If Clemson won out, their best win would be against no. 22 Wake Forest. TCU would have their best win be against no. 15 Kansas State. It is hard to keep an undefeated conference champion out, but would they put them in over a 1 loss Georgia or Michigan? Oregon, UCLA, and USC all have a chance if they win out. They would be a 1-loss Pac 12 champion, and they would probably have to hope for several teams to lose ahead of them.

Scenarios

It’s really tough to say who will make the playoffs at this point, but here are a few scenarios: (what I think the committee would do)

Higher Ranked Teams Win Out
  1. Tennessee 13-0 SEC CHAMP
  2. Michigan 13-0 BIG TEN CHAMP
  3. Georgia 11-1 SEC EAST RUNNER-UP
  4. Clemson 13-0 ACC CHAMP
  5. TCU 13-0 BIG 12 CHAMP
  6. Oregon 12-1 PAC 12 CHAMP
Alabama Wins the SEC, Ohio State wins the Big Ten, Georgia beats Tennessee, TCU loses one game, USC wins the Pac 12, and Clemson wins out
  1. Ohio State 13-0 BIG TEN CHAMP
  2. Alabama 12-1 SEC CHAMP
  3. Clemson 13-0 ACC CHAMP
  4. Georgia 12-1 SEC RUNNER-UP
  5. Tennessee 11-1 SEC EAST RUNNER-UP
  6. USC 12-1 PAC 12 CHAMP
Alabama wins SEC, Georgia beats Tennessee, Clemson loses a game, TCU loses a game, 2 loss Pac 12 champion, and Ohio State wins the Big Ten
  1. Ohio State 13-0 BIG TEN CHAMP
  2. Alabama 12-1 SEC CHAMP
  3. Georgia 12-1 SEC RUNNER-UP
  4. Tennessee 11-1 SEC EAST RUNNER-UP
  5. Michigan 11-1 BIG TEN EAST RUNNER-UP
  6. Clemson 12-1 ACC CHAMP
Tennessee, Ohio State, and Oregon win out; while TCU and Clemson both lose a game
  1. Tennessee 13-0 SEC CHAMP
  2. Ohio State 13-0 BIG TEN CHAMP
  3. Oregon 12-1 PAC 12 CHAMP
  4. Georgia 11-1 SEC EAST RUNNER-UP
  5. Michigan 11-1 BIG TEN RUNNER-UP
  6. Clemson 12-1 ACC CHAMP
Georgia wins SEC, Michigan wins Big Ten, TCU wins out, Clemson loses a game, and USC wins out
  1. Georgia 13-0 SEC CHAMP
  2. Michigan 13-0 BIG TEN CHAMP
  3. TCU 13-0 BIG 12 CHAMP
  4. USC 12-1 PAC 12 CHAMP
  5. Tennessee 11-1 SEC EAST RUNNER-UP
  6. Ohio State 11-1 BIG TEN RUNNER-UP
UCLA wins out, Ohio State wins out then loses in Big Ten Championship, Ole Miss wins out, Clemson loses in ACC Championship, TCU loses to Texas then beats them in a rematch in Big 12 championship.
  1. Ole Miss 12-1 SEC CHAMP
  2. UCLA 12-1 PAC CHAMP
  3. Tennessee 12-1 SEC RUNNER-UP
  4. TCU 12-1 BIG 12 CHAMP
  5. Ohio State 12-1 BIG TEN RUNNER-UP
  6. Georgia 11-1 SEC EAST RUNNER-UP

New Years Six Bowls (If they were today)

Peach Bowl: Tennessee vs Michigan

Fiesta Bowl: Alabama vs Georgia

Rose Bowl: Ohio State vs Oregon

Sugar Bowl: TCU vs LSU

Orange Bowl: Clemson vs Ole Miss

Cotton Bowl: UCLA vs Tulane

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