College Football Top 25: Week 14

Posted byjachoman9Posted inCollege Football, College Football Rankings

My top 25 for week 14 and some playoff scenarios:

  1. Georgia Bulldogs 12-0: vs 2 Alabama
  2. Alabama Crimson Tide 11-1: vs 1 Georgia
  3. Oregon Ducks 11-1: vs 4 Washington
  4. Washington Huskies 12-0: vs 3 Oregon
  5. Michigan Wolverines 12-0: vs Iowa
  6. Texas Longhorns 11-1: vs 15 Oklahoma State
  7. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1: BYE
  8. Florida State Seminoles 12-0: vs 17 Louisville
  9. Ole Miss Rebels 10-2: BYE
  10. Missouri Tigers 10-2: BYE
  11. LSU Tigers 9-3: BYE
  12. Penn State Nittany Lions 10-2: BYE
  13. Arizona Wildcats 9-3: BYE
  14. Oregon State Beavers 8-4: BYE
  15. Oklahoma State Cowboys 9-3: vs 6 Texas
  16. Oklahoma Sooners 10-2: BYE
  17. Louisville Cardinals 10-2: vs 8 Florida State
  18. Notre Dame Fighting Irish 9-3: BYE
  19. Kansas State Wildcats 8-4: BYE
  20. Tennessee Volunteers 8-4: BYE
  21. NCST Wolfpack 9-3: BYE
  22. Clemson Tigers 8-4: BYE
  23. Kansas Jayhawks 8-4: BYE
  24. SMU Mustangs 8-4: vs Tulane
  25. Liberty Flames 12-0: vs NMSU

Dropped Out

#23 Utah Utes

#25 UCLA Bruins

Just Missed

  • Tulane Green Wave
  • Utah Utes
  • Iowa State Cyclones
  • Iowa Hawkeyes
  • Toledo Rockets

Conference Comparison

SEC: 6 (1, 2, 9, 10, 11, 20)

Big 12: 5 (6, 15, 16, 19, 23)

Pac 12: 4 (3, 4, 13, 14)

ACC: 4 (8, 17, 21, 22)

Big Ten: 3 (5, 7, 12)

Independent: 1 (18)

AAC: 1 (24)

C-USA: 1 (25)

The Contenders

There are still 8 teams that can make the playoffs. I will break down each team and their probabilities of making the playoffs. (I will be using the committee’s rankings)

1 Georgia Bulldogs 12-0

Best Win: vs 12 Ole Miss 52-17

Worst Game: vs South Carolina 24-14

Rec vs Top 25: 3-0

All Georgia has to do to make it to the playoffs is beat Alabama. If they lose however, they could be in real trouble. They may need a lot of chaos to get in if they don’t win.

2 Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1

Best Win: vs 11 Penn State 20-12

Worst Game: at 3 Michigan 24-30

Rec vs Top 25: 2-1

Obviously Ohio State won’t be no. 2 when the new rankings come out, and they will not be playing for the Big Ten championship. They need chaos to get in.

3 Michigan Wolverines 12-0

Best Win: vs 2 Ohio State 30-24

Worst Game: at Maryland 31-24

Rec vs Top 25: 2-0

I would honestly be shocked if Michigan didn’t beat Iowa on Saturday, and they should be a lock to make the playoffs after their win over Ohio State.

4 Washington Huskies 12-0

Best Win: vs 6 Oregon 36-33

Worst Game: vs ASU 15-7

Rec vs Top 25: 3-0

Washington has to win and their in. It will be tough rematch with the Ducks, but Washington controls their own destiny.

5 Florida State Seminoles 12-0

Best Win: vs 14 LSU 45-24

Worst Game: at Boston College 31-29

Rec vs Top 25: 2-0

Florida State was really good, however, Jordan Travis is out. We all got a good look of what the Seminoles looked like against the Gators. I think FSU will beat Louisville (Louisville isn’t very good), but is their resume better than Texas’? No. Are they playing as good as Texas right now? No. So we’ll see how much the committee values the zero in their loss column.

6 Oregon Ducks 11-1

Best Win: vs 16 ORSU 31-7

Worst Game: at 4 Washington 33-36

Rec vs Top 25: 1-1

The Ducks definitely pass the eye test, but their resume is trash. I do think a win over Washington would get them in over Texas though, who is their biggest threat right now.

7 Texas Longhorns 11-1

Best Win: at 8 Alabama 34-24

Worst Game: vs 13 Oklahoma 34-40

Rec vs Top 25: 2-1

Texas has (in my opinion) the best win in the country and I think Kansas should be ranked which would give them a third ranked win. All these things said about their resume, they have not been playing fantastically since the Bama game before last week when they smacked TTU. It should be very interesting to see what happens with them if they whoop Oklahoma State.

8 Alabama Crimson Tide 11-1

Best Win: vs 12 Ole Miss 24-10

Worst Game: vs 7 Texas 24-34

Rec vs Top 25: 3-1

Alabama has played like one of the top teams in the country lately and do not resemble the team that lost at home to Texas in week 2. However, does the committee see that? If Alabama beats Georgia on Saturday, no matter what the committee does, a lot of people are gonna be pissed off.

Scenarios

No Upsets

  1. Georgia Bulldogs 13-0
  2. Michigan Wolverines 13-0
  3. Washington Huskies 13-0
  4. Florida State Seminoles 13-0
  5. Texas Longhorns 12-1
  6. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1

This would definitely piss off a lot of Texas fans, but Florida State is undefeated. I just don’t see the committee leaving out an undefeated ACC champ (evident by 2014 Florida State who got embarrased in the semifinals soon after making it).

Georgia Loses

  1. Michigan Wolverines 13-0
  2. Washington Huskies 13-0
  3. Florida State Seminoles 13-0
  4. Texas Longhorns 12-1
  5. Alabama Crimson Tide 12-1
  6. Georgia Bulldogs 12-1

This would make me so angry as an Alabama fan myself, but I don’t think the committee likes what they’ve seen from Alabama so far even if they beat Georgia. I think Texas is gonna destroy OKST this weekend, and Texas beat Alabama. Florida State is undefeated which leaves Alabama as the odd man out. This would be the first time the SEC is ever let out of the playoffs.

All Upsets

  1. Alabama Crimson Tide 12-1
  2. Oregon Ducks 12-1
  3. Georgia Bulldogs 12-1
  4. Michigan Wolverines 12-1
  5. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1
  6. Washington Huskies 12-1

I don’t think anyone would be angry if the committee did this, but this scenario is unlikely.

Texas, Washington, and Florida State Lose

  1. Georgia Bulldogs 13-0
  2. Michigan Wolverines 13-0
  3. Oregon Ducks 12-1
  4. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1
  5. Washington Huskies 12-1
  6. Florida State Seminoles 12-1

This is probably the only way Ohio State makes it in, but Washington could have an argument.

Florida State Loses

  1. Georgia Bulldogs 13-0
  2. Michigan Wolverines 13-0
  3. Washington Huskies 13-0
  4. Texas Longhorns 12-1
  5. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1
  6. Florida State Seminoles 12-1

I think this would be pretty fair and is one of the most likely scenarios.

Most Likely Scenario (Washington Loses)

  1. Georgia Bulldogs 13-0
  2. Michigan Wolverines 13-0
  3. Oregon Ducks 12-1
  4. Florida State Seminoles 13-0
  5. Texas Longhorns 12-1
  6. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1

I really hope this doesn’t happen. For one thing, Alabama would lose, but for another, Texas has been so much better than Florida State, and FSU does not have their best player. If Jordan Travis wasn’t injured, I wouldn’t have as much of a problem with it, but this would just be sad.

Most Likely way for Bama to get in (Florida State loses and Georgia loses)

  1. Michigan Wolverines 13-0
  2. Washington Huskies 13-0
  3. Texas Longhorns 12-1
  4. Alabama Crimson Tide 12-1
  5. Georgia Bulldogs 12-1
  6. Ohio State Buckeyes 11-1

In short, even if Bama wins, things are gonna be ugly. I personally think there is absolutely no way that Florida State would even make a game with the other top 8 teams competitive, but the committee loves the zero in the loss column, so one can only hope that they make the right decision. I’m speaking for Texas and Bama fans of course, if you’re an FSU fan, then you better hope that the committee is stupid.

NY6

Sugar Bowl: 1 Georgia vs 4 Washington

Rose Bowl: 2 Alabama vs 3 Oregon

Orange Bowl: 8 Florida State vs 9 Ole Miss

Fiesta Bowl: 5 Michigan vs 6 Texas

Peach Bowl: 7 Ohio State vs 11 LSU

Cotton Bowl: 10 Missouri vs 24 SMU

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