2024 CFP Discussion

Well, the Committee did what I thought they would…

So, SMU made it in over Alabama, Ole Miss, and South Carolina. They have a much worse resume, but they have a better record and competed for a conference championship without any terrible losses.

I’m not really that mad about SMU making it over those SEC teams. I think SMU would have a chance to beat those teams on any given Saturday, and SMU avoided any big collapses during the season (Bama vs Vandy and OU, Ole Miss vs Kentucky, South Carolina vs Ole Miss).

My argument for the SEC teams is their quality wins. Alabama has wins over Georgia, Missouri, and South Carolina, the Mizzou win being 34-0. Ole Miss beat Georgia by 18, South Carolina by 24, and they won their only game against an ACC team (Wake Forest) by 34. South Carolina beat Texas A&M by 24, beat Missouri, and won on the road at Clemson, the team that just beat SMU. SMU’s best win is against Louisville, and they have some okay wins against TCU and Duke. Oh, and SMU lost their only two games against Top 25 opponents (BYU and Clemson). All that being said, it is what it is, SMU showed that they are more consistent, I guess.

So, I’m not really angry about SMU making it in, because they have some decent justification. What I am angry about, is the format of the bracket itself.

First of all, the auto-byes. Penn State and Texas have easier paths to the championship than Oregon and Georgia… WHAT!? This is the most asinine way to seed a playoff. Just seed the teams according to rank. Oregon should have the easiest paths to the championship. They earned it by going undefeated and being the no. 1 team for a better part of the season, but instead Penn State is awarded for losing to Oregon by getting SMU and Boise State in the 1st two rounds, while Oregon gets the bye, but must play against the winner of Ohio State vs Tennessee. Teams should be rewarded for being ranked high, sounds like common sense to me.

Then there’s the auto bids. I know they are trying to guarantee that all of these conferences are being represented, but if you look back on the history of CFP rankings, almost every year there are 5 conferences represented in the top 12. It is ridiculous that Alabama can be ranked no. 11 (agree with it or not) and not be in a 12 team playoff while no. 16 Clemson gets to make it. They should just get rid of conference championships and put the top 12 teams in the playoffs because Alabama would completely spay and neuter Clemson if they got the chance.

Evidence for no auto-bids

2014

RankTeamRecordConference
1Alabama12-1SEC
2Oregon12-1Pac 12
3Florida State13-0ACC
4Ohio State12-1Big Ten
5Baylor11-1Big 12
6TCU11-1Big 12
7Mississippi State10-2SEC
8Michigan State10-2Big Ten
9Ole Miss9-3SEC
10Arizona10-3Pac 12
11Kansas State9-3Big 12
12Georgia Tech10-3ACC

2015

1Clemson13-0ACC
2Alabama12-1SEC
3Michigan State12-1Big Ten
4Oklahoma11-1Big 12
5Iowa12-1Big Ten
6Stanford11-2Pac 12
7Ohio State11-1Big Ten
8Notre Dame10-2Independent
9Florida State10-2ACC
10North Carolina11-2ACC
11TCU10-2Big 12
12Ole Miss9-3SEC

2016

1Alabama13-0SEC
2Clemson12-1ACC
3Ohio State11-1Big Ten
4Washington12-1Pac 12
5Penn State11-2Big Ten
6Michigan10-2Big Ten
7Oklahoma10-2Big 12
8Wisconsin10-3Big Ten
9USC9-3Pac 12
10Colorado10-3Pac 12
11Florida State9-3ACC
12Oklahoma State9-3Big 12

2017

1Clemson12-1ACC
2Oklahoma12-1Big 12
3Georgia12-1SEC
4Alabama11-1SEC
5Ohio State11-2Big Ten
6Wisconsin12-1Big Ten
7Auburn10-3SEC
8USC11-2Pac 12
9Penn State10-2Big Ten
10Miami10-2ACC
11Washington10-2Pac 12
12UCF12-0American

2018

1Alabama13-0SEC
2Clemson13-0ACC
3Notre Dame12-0Independent
4Oklahoma12-1Big 12
5Georgia11-2SEC
6Ohio State12-1Big Ten
7Michigan10-2Big Ten
8UCF12-0American
9Washington10-3Pac 12
10Florida9-3SEC
11LSU9-3SEC
12Penn State9-3Big Ten

2019

1LSU13-0SEC
2Ohio State13-0Big Ten
3Clemson13-0ACC
4Oklahoma12-1Big 12
5Georgia11-2SEC
6Oregon11-2Pac 12
7Baylor11-2Big 12
8Wisconsin10-3Big Ten
9Florida10-2SEC
10Penn State10-2Big Ten
11Utah11-2Pac 12
12Auburn9-3SEC

2020

1Alabama10-0SEC
2Notre Dame10-0ACC
3Clemson9-1ACC
4Ohio State5-0Big Ten
5Texas A&M7-1SEC
6Iowa State8-2Big 12
7Florida8-2SEC
8Georgia7-2SEC
9Cincinnati8-0American
10Oklahoma7-2Big 12
11Indiana6-1Big Ten
12Coastal Carolina11-0Sun Belt

2021

1Alabama12-1SEC
2Michigan12-1Big Ten
3Georgia12-1SEC
4Cincinnati13-0American
5Notre Dame11-1Independent
6Ohio State10-2Big Ten
7Baylor11-1Big 12
8Ole Miss10-2SEC
9Oklahoma State11-2Big 12
10Michigan State10-2Big Ten
11Utah10-3Pac 12
12Pittsburgh11-2ACC

2022

1Georgia13-0SEC
2Michigan13-0Big Ten
3TCU12-1Big 12
4Ohio State11-1Big Ten
5Alabama10-2SEC
6Tennessee10-2SEC
7Clemson11-2ACC
8Utah10-3Pac 12
9Kansas State10-3Big 12
10USC11-2Pac 12
11Penn State10-2Big Ten
12Washington10-2Pac 12

2023

1Michigan13-0Big Ten
2Washington13-0Pac 12
3Texas12-1Big 12
4Alabama12-1SEC
5Florida State13-0ACC
6Georgia12-1SEC
7Ohio State11-1Big Ten
8Oregon11-2Pac 12
9Missouri10-2SEC
10Penn State10-2Big Ten
11Ole Miss10-2SEC
12Oklahoma10-2Big 12

2024

1Oregon13-0Big Ten
2Georgia11-2SEC
3Texas11-2SEC
4Penn State11-2Big Ten
5Notre Dame11-1Independent
6Ohio State10-2Big Ten
7Tennessee10-2SEC
8Indiana11-1Big Ten
9Boise State12-1Mountain West
10SMU11-2ACC
11Alabama9-3SEC
12Arizona State11-2Big 12

Well, the data speaks for itself. Every single season 5+ conferences would be represented. Even in 2020 when the Pac 12 didn’t make it, there were multiple G5 conferences represented to bring the total number to 6, and this year as the Pac 12 doesn’t even exist anymore, a Mountain West team made it to bring the number of conferences represented to 5. Auto bids are stupid, and conference championships should be abolished.

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